Yesterday read some more of
"The Last Continent", I guess now I want to go visit Australia even more. Also saw
Angel-A a Luc Besson movie. There is still something left unanswered in my mind. Why that guy Andre!!? (No spoilers if you want watch it, go ahead, I don't recommend it but it can be good for couples, couples who are perhaps into soapy sentimental bits).
Right about now EU Commission should be declaring whether Bulgaria and Romania will be joining the EU on January 1 2007 or be postponed for 2008. So far it seems it is 99% certain it will be in about 3 months time. Some more info can be found on BBC News
here and
here. From my view point, of a person living in Bulgaria and pretty well familiar with how things are in neighboring Romania, none of the 2 countries are ready yet. It is quite obvious. But indeed EU will do more damage if they don't accept them now and I on second consideration I think its a smart decision from EU to decide to accept them from 2007 rather than a year later. If the 2 countries get an year later there certainly will be some psychological set back and even slow down reform processes and the economic reforms. In my opinion, economic growth on the other hand will be pushed down minorly if the status quo, not being part of the Union, continues. I can at least say so about Bulgaria. The country will keep reforming aiming for 2008 entry and the economy will keep growing with near or above 5% annually. The minor effects will stem because politics and the surrounding world events are entangled in the economy. But of course as part of EU the economic growth will be much faster but most importantly in the "right" track with better choice of policies.
Now, now I was also reading some
readers' comments, again on BBC. There are people, mainly British (or English is the impression I got), who have facts wrong. One of the reasons of the so called "German miracle" was due to the influx of foreign labour. (Un)fortunately it is more than obvious that there will be immigrants, but there will be less than expected. Not the waves of Poles after 2004 enlargement, on top of that (or may be not to repeat that because of strong public opinion) there are plans for a lot of restrictions on Bulgaria and Romania and likely additional UK work restrictions. The Poles who immigrated to UK brought more benefits to UK than problems.
On the other hand a lot of people seem to be worried about their job. I understand that people are worried about their jobs, and that leading to houses and support of families, if that's the case no one will be thinking about economic growth or positive sides, they be only worried about their own. Something completely normal and absolutely in their right to protest because of that.
That aside, I keep seeing those blind pure stupidity "Britain should get out of EU" ofc EU will lose out, Britain will lose A LOT more... Sometimes I want them to get out and laugh at this, what I can only call, backward thinking and observe the loses that will follow up from getting out of the common market... And what the hell is the stupid example of Switzerland? True their though on giving citizenship, but tdo the research plz... they are in what is called EEA (European Economic Area) and they have shit load of agreements with EU. What does that mean? More or less they can to a very large extent benefit from the EU market and not be much harmed by the common external tariffs. In fact Switzerland is and will be benefiting more than will be Bulgaria or Romania after joining the EU.
If people are wondering what the 2 new entrants can bring in when they join is at least that there will be the reduced EU-wide crime. Being part of EU will mean less crime because there will be more tight internal control. And finally, how can people talk of EU wide integration, wtf this biased thinking who is ready or not... Portugal? Spain? Greece?
What a long post... but it's good to keep one thing in mind... Balkans do create trouble.